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I am likely going to try and keep either a running diary (Sports Guy-style) for publishing later, but figured I should post my pics. Well, the best I can do anyway, having not seen a number of the nominated performances (Best Actor is especially hazy for me…).

Best Picture
My pick: Frost/Nixon
Probable Winner: Slumdog Millionaire

I liked Slumdog a lot, but Frost/Nixon was absolutely the best movie of the year. Minority opinion, to be sure, but I found it absolutely riveting. Slumdog will probably win though. Freida Pinto should win a special award, though, for “Best Use of a Kick-Ass if Unnecessary Scarf.” I mean, (SPOILER ALERT!) at the end of that movie she is basically fleeing for her life after being held as some sort of wife/sex slave or something by some Indian gangster type. But she makes sure to stop to grab her fabulous yellow scarf. Really? Not that it isn’t gorgeous. I want!

Best Director
My Pick: Danny Boyle
Probable Winner: Danny Boyle

Frost/Nixon was the best movie I have seen last year, but I think Danny Boyle’s direction on Slumdog was pretty amazing, particularly the sequence with the trains.

Best Actress
My Pick: Kate Winslet
Probable Winner: Meryl Streep

Here’s my upset pick. Meryl Streep received mixed reviews for Doubt (I loved her performance, myself); but Winslet has gotten a ton of bad press since she started racking up the awards. It’s befuddling to me (I luff her), but I think it could hurt her chances. Anne Hathaway could also sneak in here–she was good, but Rachel Getting Married pretty much made me want to melt off my own face with the hot butter machine, it was THAT horrendous. So I can’t pick her for the upset. So, Meryl.

Best Actor
My Pick: Frank Langella
Probable Winner: Mickey Rourke

This one was tough, I hadn’t seen The Wrestler or Milk–but Frank Langella was incredible in Frost/Nixon. Word is Mickey Rourke will run away with this, with a possible Sean Penn upset. But I already picked my upset, so I’ll stick with Rourke.

Best Supporting Actress
My Pick: Amy Adams
Probable Winner: Taraji Henson

I don’t think Amy got enough credit for her performance in Doubt. She was perfect in this role, and her scene with Philip Seymour Hoffman was utterly exquisite. Speaking of…

Best Supporting Actor
My Pick: tie between Robert Downey Jr. and Philip Seymour Hoffman
Probable Winner: Heath Ledger

There is literally no way that Heath Ledger will lose. And there is absolutely no way he’d win if it were not for his death. Obnoxious thing to say, but also an obnoxious situation for the other deserving nominees. PSH and RDJ were both so great in their roles, I feel bad for them that there’s zero chance they’ll win.

Best Screenplay (Adapted)
My Pick: Frost/Nixon
Probable Winner: Slumdog Millionaire

I don’t have a pick for Original Screenplay, becuase I actually haven’t seen any of the nominated films! But in this one, I like F/N for the same reasons I chose it as Best Picture. Slumdog wouldn’t make me cry though, it was excellent, if a bit muddled at times. There were parts where I was totally confused as to what was going on, and I feel like that could have been helped by a tighter script. Or maybe I’m just dumb.

See you at 830!